John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done

It takes 2025 delegates  to win. Looking at the delegate count: Obama (63), Clinton (48), and Edwards (26), this race is far from over. Millions of voters have yet to cast their votes. Their voices will be heard.

From the very beginning, our campaign has been about one central thing: giving voice to millions of Americans who have absolutely no voice in our democracy.

If you are worried about your health care or, like 47 million other Americans you have no health care, your voice will be heard in this campaign.

If you're one of 37 million Americans who wake up every single day, worried about how to feed and clothe your children and living in poverty, your voice will be heard in America -- and it will be heard in this campaign and we will speak and fight for you.

If you're worried about being able to pay for your child to be able to go to college and being able to pay for tuition and books, your voice will be heard in this campaign -- and it will be heard in America.

If you're one of the forgotten middle class, working and struggling just to pay your bills, worrying every single day about what may be around the corner, we will give you a voice in this campaign.

And if you're one of the extraordinary men and women who have worn the uniform of the United States with pride and honor and served this country patriotically, and you're not getting the health care you need or deserve, your voice will be heard in this campaign. If you're one of the 200,000 veterans living in America who every night go to sleep under bridges, in shelters or on heating grates, your voice will be heard in America.

That's why this campaign moves on to February 5 and "Super Tuesday" when millions of Americans will cast their vote and help shape the future of the Democratic Party and, most importantly, help shape the future of America.

John Edwards is speaking for the voiceless in this campaign. He has represented progressive causes, fighting for economic and social justice, those that are the core principles of the Democratic party. Being the first to come out with a truly Universal Health Care Plan, a Plan to End Poverty, A Rural Recovery Plan and a Green Economy Policy, undoubtedly, Edwards has raised the bar, forcing other candidates to tweak their policies to the left.

With Edwards being the most progressive candidate in this race, he has been the conscience of our party. As Ted Kennedy stated today, " John Edwards has been a powerful advocate for economic and social justice."  

And, he can.still.win. Edwards can roll up the kind of delegate count that will win him the nomination on the back half of this campaign. Keep in mind, that in 1992, Bill Clinton did not win a primary until 8 states into the campaign. It can happen.

The Edwards campaign is working aggressively to ensure it does happen. Today, the Edwards for President Campaign released a memo detailing some of their efforts moving into Super Tuesday and beyond:

Born to working class parents and raised in small, rural towns across the South, John Edwards will appeal to all hard-working families in the February 5th states because he understands the values and struggles these voters face. We believe he will be competitive in all 22 states holding primaries next Tuesday and have staff, advisors, and support from labor covering all 22 states.  Experienced political, press, advance and field staff are already on the ground in February 5th states to grow and mobilize our support.  We are waging aggressive campaigns building on the political foundation and support already established through the branches of One Corps (the grassroots organizing arm of the campaign), online mobilization, and earned media with in-state surrogates.  This work has been underway for over a year.  

In addition, in the next 48 hours, the campaign will launch aggressive media buys starting in 10 states and likely expanding in the days leading up to February 5th.  These will be significant media buys that will have a real impact on the race, particularly because voters in these states have not yet had broad exposure to John Edwards' message.  As we saw in South Carolina, once people have a chance to hear directly from John Edwards, the numbers move.    

We will be broadly competitive, earning delegates from across the February 5th states and onto the subsequent contests in Louisiana, Virginia, and Maryland. We expect that when voters in the these states are finally offered the choice the national media has ignored all year - the most progressive, most electable candidate in the race, John Edwards - we will prevail.

Additionally, Edwards has the money needed to keep his campaign running strong; albeit he's up against two 100 Million Dollar celebrity candidates. Yet, Edwards remains competitive. He did afterall, beat Hillary Clinton in Iowa despite the fact he was far outspent.

And...the donations continue to roll in:

ONLINE FUNDRAISING BOOM

We enter the February 5th phase of the campaign on solid financial footing. The campaign has enjoyed an online fundraising boom - over $3.2 million raised online since the first of the year - most of which will be doubled by federal matching funds. This represents an 81% increase over December in total number of contributions: 44,007 contributions were made during this period, compared with 24,240 from December 1 to December 31. These 44,007 contributions came from 35,351 donors compared to 20,243 in December.  This is a 74% increase in contributing donors from December to January. We have seen an increase of 104% over the number of first-time givers in December (10,049). The pool of our support is widening - we've seen a 155% increase in new additions to our list compared to growth in December.

Most importantly, we are seeing longtime online supporters make first-time contributions.  We've also seen lower average contributions, by as much as $25 less than a typical daily average - but offset by higher volume. Our supporters are seeing this race everywhere now - and they're looking for ways to contribute.

Independent online activists have had a hand in this fundraising effort. KingOneEye recently intiated a fundraiser which helped to contribute to one of the campaign's biggest fundraising days ever. Bloggers are now holding a "$200,000 Day" fundraiser. Click the photo below to make your donation today!

Edwards remains competitive in a number of states, in fact he's polling in a statiscal tie with Obama in a couple of states. He continues to fight on!  

The fact is, we can trust John Edwards to move forward and implement the bold polices that he has proposed. He is the only candidate who has never accepted donations from Washington Lobbyists or PACS. He is beholden to no one  but the people.

"Trust your heart" and stand up for the candidate who is both the most progressive and the most electable in a general election: John Edwards!



Display:


No it can't (none / 0)

Edwards only hope that both Obama and Clinton are knocked out of the race for some reason.

He is nowhere right now.   0-4 with dim prospects of winning anywhere.  


by dpANDREWS on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 04:53:57 PM EST

Thanks for your assine comment, DPAndrew. (2.00 / 2)

As I recall, your comments usually are.


by TomP on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 04:55:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Thanks for your assine comment, DPAndrew. (2.00 / 3)

This is a fight that has to be finished, win or lose, so we can sleep at night with the knowledge that we had the back of man that fights for us till the end.  John Edwards.


by Todd Bennett on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:06:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

To gain a victory you have to win (none / 0)

Actually you have to win a lot.

All the rah rah stuff aside Edwards hasn't won and shows no signs of being on the verge of winning.


by dpANDREWS on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:31:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No it can't (2.00 / 2)

I don't know that you are right.  These charts from jamess diary show the current possibilities if you don't buy the media hype.

Delegate count so far.  Long way to go to 2025                            The Race will NOT be over on Feb 5th with 1902 delegates up for grabs.

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I am an Edwards Democrat. Visit EENR blog for Progressives
by pioneer111 on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:43:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

What big state will he win on Feb 5? (none / 0)

How mant states will he win on Feb 5?

I am just looking for some reality based in put there, thats all.


by dpANDREWS on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 06:11:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: What big state will he win on Feb 5? (2.00 / 3)

Some of us commit our time and our effort because we want to push the party and the country in a more progressive direction.

Some comment on blogs just because they enjoy the horse-race.


by desmoulins on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 08:00:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Again, what state? (none / 0)

YOY .. as in YOU ... can be a protest candidate.  Is that what Edwards is now?  I so say so.  Some here are spinning nonsense of a possible formula for Edwards to win.   Which is of course fairytale bs.


by dpANDREWS on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 11:23:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Again, what state? (2.00 / 1)

Again, what is your problem with a campaign that pushes for real progressive change? You do realize that the point of elections is to make policy not just gain personal power, don't you?


by desmoulins on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 12:52:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You have it wrong (none / 0)

The point of elections is to win what ever position you are running for, so that when sworn in you can make policy.


by dpANDREWS on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 07:36:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You have it wrong (none / 0)

Yes, and the point of primaries is for the party to decide what priorities it sets and who sets them.


by desmoulins on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 11:29:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

As one Edwards supporter to another... (2.00 / 2)

...you can fight on for all the right reasons, without needing a pipe dream of victory in this particular primary season to keep you going.

We're in a long-term battle to change America.  That battle doesn't end, whether Edwards wins or loses.  Just like that battle didn't end when Kerry lost in November 2004, or when Dean lost in the primaries that year - and most certainly didn't end when we elected an only occasionally useful Dem Congress nearly 15 months ago.

Those who depend on illusions to keep them going will fall by the wayside as those illusions get shattered.  The prospect of Edwards' winning the nomination this year is an illusion.

The fact that there's a lot of delegates to be chosen doesn't help, absent a decent chance of winning a plurality of them.  Edwards got only 18% of the vote in South Carolina, and it's rare that he'll see such favorable ground again.

A week from today, Edwards will clear the 15% threshold needed to win delegates in only a handful of states.  That's the reality of it.

I still plan on voting for Edwards on Feb. 12, when my state's primary rolls around, and I want him to stay in until his support drops into the low single digits, because he forces Clinton and Obama to run as Democrats - and thus acts as a game-changer, even while losing.

It's because of Edwards that Clinton and Obama are discussing universal health care.  It's because of Edwards that they're discussing genuinely viable plans to deal with global warming.  It's because of Edwards that Clinton has advocated that the minimum wage be increased to $9.50/hour.  It's partly because of Edwards that Clinton and Obama returned to the Senate yesterday to vote against cloture on an awful FISA bill.  And so on.

Being in third place for the past year hasn't kept Edwards from running an enormously successful campaign.  Someday, I hope to have the opportunity to shake his hand and thank him for running the campaign he has run this year.  I've tossed hundreds of dollars his way, and I don't regret a penny of it.  It's made a difference.

And in a few months, this primary campaign will be over, and a few months after that, the election will be over.  And we'll need to keep on fighting new battles in this same war.  We'll need y'all there after illusory hopes are gone.  Let's build on rock, not on sand.


by RT on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 08:55:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (1.80 / 5)

Oh yes it can be done. I've seen seen 12 Presidential Elections  in my lifetime and voted in 8 of those. Anything can happen & will.
I stick with John all the way through till all is said and done.
Obama is not acceptable.

Thanks for the Diary Amy!


"If you want others to be happy, practice compassion. If you want to be happy, practice compassion." Dalai Lama
by Predictor on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 04:57:50 PM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (2.00 / 2)

You do have a point.  Anything CAN happen- unless of course you've already given up.


by reasonwarrior on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:11:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Great comment (2.00 / 2)

WE FIGHT ON,

Anything can happen.

Vote for John Edwards the orginal Change candidate that was copied by the others.


Check out the New Progressive Blog EENRBLOG
by dk2 on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:22:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Great comment (none / 0)

I lived thru 1968 primaries. Anything can happen.


by DaleA on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 12:29:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (1.00 / 0)

If the aliens from Independence Day decide to visit their wrath upon the Capitol this evening, Edwards WINS!


I proudly support Barack Obama for President!
by Zeitgeist9000 on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 06:58:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

I think more than Edwards will win if that happens.


by MNPundit on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 07:40:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

When can we be the party (2.00 / 5)

of the positive again? Anything is possible and I want to believe in the power of good Government and how it can work for US again.

Thanks so much for reminding us all why we fight for John, he's fighting for all of us, even those of us with no voice.

I think he can do it.  Nothing is impossible.  Especially when there are so many variables that are unseen and unknown.


by Ellinorianne on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:09:01 PM EST

Re: (none / 0)

There are only 8 days left until Feb. 5.  Something major, major under-the-radar stuff would have to be happening right now for the scenarion laid out here to be possible.  Basically, Florida tomorrow will be a good test of that "soaring under the radar" theory.  If Edwards can get in the 30s in Florida tomorrow, that would be something.

Last week Trippi discussed Edwards' role moving forward, and he himself called it very much a long shot for Edwards to gain the nomination or to be a kingmaker, with the kingmaker role now the role they are generally shooting for:

http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB1 20122491195115541.html

It is the sort of math that Joe Trippi, senior adviser to Mr. Edwards, said the campaign is banking on. "I think 200 delegates on Feb. 6 is our over-under," Mr. Trippi said. Although he continues to insist that Mr. Edwards has a chance at securing the nomination, Mr. Trippi concedes it is a long shot. More probable: arriving at the convention with enough delegates to tip the scales in favor of either Mrs. Clinton or Mr. Obama. "Edwards is the primary force keeping Clinton under 50%," Mr. Trippi said. "Worst case? We go to the convention as the peacemaker, kingmaker, whatever you want to call it."

and


As Mr. Trippi figures it, if Mr. Edwards gets more than 200 delegates through the Feb. 5 contests -- just more than 10% of the total 1,700 delegates at stake that day -- he has a long-shot chance of playing kingmaker. If he gets 350, Mr. Trippi said Mr. Edwards is almost assured of playing that role.


by georgep on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:11:18 PM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

Sure, anything's possible, as in there's probably some billion to one scenario that I'll be the Democratic Party's nominee this year.  That probably requires an asteroid hitting the U.S. and the 200 people who like me surviving, but nonetheless, it's possible!  Keep the faith!

Nice to see that there's a cadre of Edwards people still around ... I was starting to think that MyDD was a Little Rock blogging sweatshop owned and operated by the Clinton Library Foundation.


by Dan Conley on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:22:29 PM EST

if my state had not already voted (2.00 / 3)

I would be sticking with Edwards. Even if he is an extreme longshot, it's important to keep his message out there and help him win delegates.

Clinton and Obama are both deeply flawed candidates, in my opinion. I would vote for either in the general without hesitation, but I would not vote for either in the primaries.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 05:34:52 PM EST

Bill Clinton Lost the First 3 in 1992 (2.00 / 2)

IIRC...In 1992, over the first month of the campaign, Bill Clinton lost Iowa, then he lost NH, then he lost South Dakota.  

Then he lost Maryland...on the same day that he FINALLY won his very first primary...in Georgia.

It took Bill Clinton 5 tries to finally get his first "win."

Should Bill Clinton have quit after losing the first 3?

Or, is losing the first 4 the test?  

Or, is simply obeying the MSM, and the people who parrot their narrative, the test?  

If the MSM TELLS the electorate you have no chance, do you?


by Demo37 on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 06:19:34 PM EST

Re: Bill Clinton Lost the First 3 in 1992 (none / 0)

Front-loading was not nearly as extreme then--and Edwards is not winning the working-class votes. He's splitting them (and slightly losing them) to Clinton.


by MNPundit on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 07:42:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't know pal (2.00 / 1)

Have you been watching any news coverage? The networks talk about Edwards as much as they are talking about Paul Tsongas.

It's not much better for the candidate I support, Hillary Clinton. The only news she gets is really only about Bill Clinton and it's all negative.


by Cleveland John on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 07:48:47 PM EST

Re: I don't know pal (2.00 / 1)

the mainstream media is sad, the way they ignore Edwards, they way they are so passionately anti-Hillary and anti-Bill.
the infatuation with Obama by these so-called "journalists" is just sickening.  they do not even try to hide their bias or agenda, they make it so obvious.  "Edwards is a waste of space, Hillary is pure evil, Bill is even more evil, Obama is God"
by musicpvm on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 08:27:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't know pal (2.00 / 1)

The media is certainly behind Obama to an extreme degree. It's amazing that they haven't called themselves on it.


by OrangeFur on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 09:44:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

I ask Edwards supporters, what states does he have a reasonable chance of winning?


What would LBJ do?
by Socks The Cat on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 09:22:47 PM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

I'm less concerned about wins at this point than delegate count, and Edwards will rack up some delegates.  To directly answer your question, he's got a shot at Oklahoma, demographically speaking.


Take out the trash. Down with Saxby Chambliss!
by CLLGADEM on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 05:23:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (2.00 / 4)

I respect and admire the steadfastness of everyone's support for Edwards.

Even though I'm backing Hillary, I share the sense that our chosen candidates are worth working for until the end. All the negativity from the press and from the critics only makes me want to work harder.

Good luck to Edwards and his campaign. He has valuable ideas to contribute to the Democratic Party, no matter what the eventual outcome.


by OrangeFur on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 09:43:05 PM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

It isn't over until we say it's over.  John does need to expand his base though - he talks of the poor, but the vast majority of Americas are too proud to admit that they are living in poverty.

That being said, I will remain behind John until he says he is done.

Give me a wall.


give me a wall! check out one of the best indie bands out of england in a while, ˇForward, Russia!
by Sean Fitzpatrick on Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 09:52:41 PM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

You know a few months ago, desmoinesdem did a terrific diary about how anti-poverty policies don't just help the poor.


by desmoulins on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 11:31:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Edwards will join WGA picket line at Fox 1/31 (2.00 / 1)

John Edwards along with brothers and sisters from SEIU, the Teamsters, and other unions will picket with us this Thursday. Fox Plaza, Galaxy Ave & Ave of the Stars, 11 AM-2 PM.

Photobucket


by Sonya on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 01:41:11 AM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (2.00 / 1)

Great diary, Amy. I'm sticking with Edwards, and I'll be donating on Jan. 30th too.

Our voices will be heard!


by Wordie on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 07:33:28 AM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

Whenever we talk about John Edwards we have to put issues first. We have to talk about what John talks about, about poverty, we have to talk about the stranglehold on democracy that corporations have, we have to talk about unions, about the minimum wage, about everyone getting healthcare.

John talks about and drives the reform and restoration of democracy, about stopping climate change, about work being shipped overseas, about a foreign policy that isn't about "killing forners."

JRE talks about restoring America, so should we.

We can respond to "dpwhatever" and his (or her) bile, or we can say its time that America's union membership doubled. We can ignore yammer from the trolls so we can talk about trade deals that only benefit the very rich.

America has an opportunity here and now to discuss how we got into this mess and how to get out. JRE is giving us that opportunity. He is also running for the highest office in the land, I think he deserves it, I think we need him, BUT, just being our champion, just opening the debate to real issues, just brining hope and self respect to the people shut out for so long: priceless!


by inexile on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 10:05:01 AM EST

Re: John Edwards' Path to Victory: It Can be Done (none / 0)

We need more radicalism in the Democratic party, not centrism.  We need to return to the ideals of Bryan and Wilson, of FDR and Truman.  Thus I will support Edwards to the very end.


by demjim on Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 10:56:06 AM EST


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